Why Donington might well work

This is a big week for Donington and its bid to host the British Grand Prix from 2010 onwards.

On Thursday Simon Gillett and his team will learn whether the planning application they have submitted to develop the track has been approved by the local council. It was at the planning stage a few years back, if you recall, that the Brands Hatch bid to host the Grand Prix fell apart and they had to go, cap in hand, back to Silverstone.

Gillett is confident that the same fate will not befall him. He was at the F1 Business Forum in Monaco last month. He cut a slightly odd figure in those circles, very much a wheeler dealer Geezer, with square jaw and stubble, among the studious Continental marketeers in muted suits.

He's had to weather a lot of scepticism and has not had much to say about the Donington project publicly because it is waiting for the planning decision. If and when that goes through, he will have a lot more to say. Many people are sceptical about Donington's chances of being ready in time for a Grand Prix in Summer 2010, but I spoke to Gillett at length in Monaco and he said that everything is pointing in the right direction.

With the slowdown in the construction industry, he has more than enough manpower available and as his business partner owns most of the means of production, like steel mills and concrete facilities, reprofiling the track and putting up the 800,000 sq/ft of buildings isn't going to be a problem.

The bit I was sceptical about was the financing of the whole thing using a debenture scheme. I mean, can you imagine trying to find companies and individuals in this economic climate, willing to give you £18k for a debenture and then commit to another £7k a year? It was a good business model in the bull market and worked at Wembley and to a lesser extent Arsenal's Emirates Stadium before the credit crunch came.

But the critical point, according to Gillett, is that the risk on the scheme doesn't lie with him, it lies with his debenture partners IMG, the sports marketing firm and Goldman Sachs, the investment bank. He says that they committed to the programme before the credit crunch came, so he will get his money anyway whether they sell 10 debentures or 10,000. He gets the up-front money, they get the annual fee. If that is the case, then he certainly got his timing right and this event could well come off. And given that he also claims to have negotiated very good terms with Bernie for the five years, in other words he's got the race on the cheap, you can see why he was looking quite pleased with himself at the Forum.