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Lewis Hamilton, Nercedes is congratulated by Sebastian Vettel, Ferrari  after clinching his third world title
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What recent F1 history reveals about the chances of Red Bull being caught in 2023

As Formula 1 heads into the second season of its ground effect aerodynamic regulations, one of the biggest questions on the lips of observers is whether Red Bull will be caught. But year two of new rule sets offers mixed encouragement to those hoping to knock the Milton Keynes team off its perch

The inconvenient truth is that usually one team steals an early march at the dawn of a new technical era for Formula 1. Rather than the regulatory reset creating a more tightly fought grid as the rule makers originally intended, wiping the slate clean too often paves the way for dominance.

Red Bull in 2022 was a case in point. Last year brought arguably the greatest shakeup in topflight history. In came ground effects in a bid to inspire closer racing. But once the Ferrari challenge spectacularly collapsed, the evolved and lighter RB18 with its supreme Honda powertrain-derived top speed virtually had it all its own way. Collecting both drivers' and teams' championship crowns courtesy of 17 grand prix victories was proof enough.

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