The numbers behind Vettel's chance of beating Hamilton

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It was obvious that Sebastian Vettel's Singapore startline shunt was a huge blow to his title hopes. Crunching the numbers shows just how dramatically he's gone from slight favourite to rank outsider. But where there’s hope…

What happened at the start of the Singapore Grand Prix will unquestionably be a key moment in the battle for the world championship. But what we don't yet know is whether it's the decisive blow against Sebastian Vettel, a mere detail in a Lewis Hamilton championship charge or a bump in the road that the Ferrari man will overcome.

What we can be sure of is that it's slashed Vettel's chances of winning the world championship. If history is a reliable guide, by more than half.

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About this article
Series Formula 1
Drivers Lewis Hamilton , Sebastian Vettel
Teams Ferrari , Mercedes
Article type Analysis